Simple Daily OpenDisplays the daily open line, simple as that.
The line is drawn from the opening price of the first bar of the day. There is an option to choose the color, line style, and thickness.
[i]price
Crypto Options Greeks & Volatility Analyzer [BackQuant]Crypto Options Greeks & Volatility Analyzer
Overview
The Crypto Options Greeks & Volatility Analyzer is a comprehensive analytical tool that calculates Black-Scholes option Greeks up to the third order for Bitcoin and Ethereum options. It integrates implied volatility data from VOLMEX indices and provides multiple visualization layers for options risk analysis.
Quick Introduction to Options Trading
Options are financial derivatives that give the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price (strike price) within a specific time period (expiration date). Understanding options requires grasping two fundamental concepts:
Call Options : Give the right to buy the underlying asset at the strike price. Calls increase in value when the underlying price rises above the strike price.
Put Options : Give the right to sell the underlying asset at the strike price. Puts increase in value when the underlying price falls below the strike price.
The Language of Options: Greeks
Options traders use "Greeks" - mathematical measures that describe how an option's price changes in response to various factors:
Delta : How much the option price moves for each $1 change in the underlying
Gamma : How fast delta changes as the underlying moves
Theta : Daily time decay - how much value erodes each day
Vega : Sensitivity to implied volatility changes
Rho : Sensitivity to interest rate changes
These Greeks are essential for understanding risk. Just as a pilot needs instruments to fly safely, options traders need Greeks to navigate market conditions and manage positions effectively.
Why Volatility Matters
Implied volatility (IV) represents the market's expectation of future price movement. High IV means:
Options are more expensive (higher premiums)
Market expects larger price swings
Better for option sellers
Low IV means:
Options are cheaper
Market expects smaller moves
Better for option buyers
This indicator helps you visualize and quantify these critical concepts in real-time.
Back to the Indicator
Key Features & Components
1. Complete Greeks Calculations
The indicator computes all standard Greeks using the Black-Scholes-Merton model adapted for cryptocurrency markets:
First Order Greeks:
Delta (Δ) : Measures the rate of change of option price with respect to underlying price movement. Ranges from 0 to 1 for calls and -1 to 0 for puts.
Vega (ν) : Sensitivity to implied volatility changes, expressed as price change per 1% change in IV.
Theta (Θ) : Time decay measured in dollars per day, showing how much value erodes with each passing day.
Rho (ρ) : Interest rate sensitivity, measuring price change per 1% change in risk-free rate.
Second Order Greeks:
Gamma (Γ) : Rate of change of delta with respect to underlying price, indicating how quickly delta will change.
Vanna : Cross-derivative measuring delta's sensitivity to volatility changes and vega's sensitivity to price changes.
Charm : Delta decay over time, showing how delta changes as expiration approaches.
Vomma (Volga) : Vega's sensitivity to volatility changes, important for volatility trading strategies.
Third Order Greeks:
Speed : Rate of change of gamma with respect to underlying price (∂Γ/∂S).
Zomma : Gamma's sensitivity to volatility changes (∂Γ/∂σ).
Color : Gamma decay over time (∂Γ/∂T).
Ultima : Third-order volatility sensitivity (∂²ν/∂σ²).
2. Implied Volatility Analysis
The indicator includes a sophisticated IV ranking system that analyzes current implied volatility relative to its recent history:
IV Rank : Percentile ranking of current IV within its 30-day range (0-100%)
IV Percentile : Percentage of days in the lookback period where IV was lower than current
IV Regime Classification : Very Low, Low, High, or Very High
Color-Coded Headers : Visual indication of volatility regime in the Greeks table
Trading regime suggestions based on IV rank:
IV Rank > 75%: "Favor selling options" (high premium environment)
IV Rank 50-75%: "Neutral / Sell spreads"
IV Rank 25-50%: "Neutral / Buy spreads"
IV Rank < 25%: "Favor buying options" (low premium environment)
3. Gamma Zones Visualization
Gamma zones display horizontal price levels where gamma exposure is highest:
Purple horizontal lines indicate gamma concentration areas
Opacity scaling : Darker shading represents higher gamma values
Percentage labels : Shows gamma intensity relative to ATM gamma
Customizable zones : 3-10 price levels can be analyzed
These zones are critical for understanding:
Pin risk around expiration
Potential for explosive price movements
Optimal strike selection for gamma trading
Market maker hedging flows
4. Probability Cones (Expected Move)
The probability cones project expected price ranges based on current implied volatility:
1 Standard Deviation (68% probability) : Shown with dashed green/red lines
2 Standard Deviations (95% probability) : Shown with dotted green/red lines
Time-scaled projection : Cones widen as expiration approaches
Lognormal distribution : Accounts for positive skew in asset prices
Applications:
Strike selection for credit spreads
Identifying high-probability profit zones
Setting realistic price targets
Risk management for undefined risk strategies
5. Breakeven Analysis
The indicator plots key price levels for options positions:
White line : Strike price
Green line : Call breakeven (Strike + Premium)
Red line : Put breakeven (Strike - Premium)
These levels update dynamically as option premiums change with market conditions.
6. Payoff Structure Visualization
Optional P&L labels display profit/loss at expiration for various price levels:
Shows P&L at -2 sigma, -1 sigma, ATM, +1 sigma, and +2 sigma price levels
Separate calculations for calls and puts
Helps visualize option payoff diagrams directly on the chart
Updates based on current option premiums
Configuration Options
Calculation Parameters
Asset Selection : BTC or ETH (limited by VOLMEX IV data availability)
Expiry Options : 1D, 7D, 14D, 30D, 60D, 90D, 180D
Strike Mode : ATM (uses current spot) or Custom (manual strike input)
Risk-Free Rate : Adjustable annual rate for discounting calculations
Display Settings
Greeks Display : Toggle first, second, and third-order Greeks independently
Visual Elements : Enable/disable probability cones, gamma zones, P&L labels
Table Customization : Position (6 options) and text size (4 sizes)
Price Levels : Show/hide strike and breakeven lines
Technical Implementation
Data Sources
Spot Prices : INDEX:BTCUSD and INDEX:ETHUSD for underlying prices
Implied Volatility : VOLMEX:BVIV (Bitcoin) and VOLMEX:EVIV (Ethereum) indices
Real-Time Updates : All calculations update with each price tick
Mathematical Framework
The indicator implements the full Black-Scholes-Merton model:
Standard normal distribution approximations using Abramowitz and Stegun method
Proper annualization factors (365-day year)
Continuous compounding for interest rate calculations
Lognormal price distribution assumptions
Alert Conditions
Four categories of automated alerts:
Price-Based : Underlying crossing strike price
Gamma-Based : 50% surge detection for explosive moves
Moneyness : Deep ITM alerts when |delta| > 0.9
Time/Volatility : Near expiration and vega spike warnings
Practical Applications
For Options Traders
Monitor all Greeks in real-time for active positions
Identify optimal entry/exit points using IV rank
Visualize risk through probability cones and gamma zones
Track time decay and plan rolls
For Volatility Traders
Compare IV across different expiries
Identify mean reversion opportunities
Monitor vega exposure across strikes
Track higher-order volatility sensitivities
Conclusion
The Crypto Options Greeks & Volatility Analyzer transforms complex mathematical models into actionable visual insights. By combining institutional-grade Greeks calculations with intuitive overlays like probability cones and gamma zones, it bridges the gap between theoretical options knowledge and practical trading application.
Whether you're:
A directional trader using options for leverage
A volatility trader capturing IV mean reversion
A hedger managing portfolio risk
Or simply learning about options mechanics
This tool provides the quantitative foundation needed for informed decision-making in cryptocurrency options markets.
Remember that options trading involves substantial risk and complexity. The Greeks and visualizations provided by this indicator are tools for analysis - they should be combined with proper risk management, position sizing, and a thorough understanding of options strategies.
As crypto options markets continue to mature and grow, having professional-grade analytics becomes increasingly important. This indicator ensures you're equipped with the same analytical capabilities used by institutional traders, adapted specifically for the unique characteristics of 24/7 cryptocurrency markets.
Time-Decaying Percentile Oscillator [BackQuant]Time-Decaying Percentile Oscillator
1. Big-picture idea
Traditional percentile or stochastic oscillators treat every bar in the look-back window as equally important. That is fine when markets are slow, but if volatility regime changes quickly yesterday’s print should matter more than last month’s. The Time-Decaying Percentile Oscillator attempts to fix that blind spot by assigning an adjustable weight to every past price before it is ranked. The result is a percentile score that “breathes” with market tempo much faster to flag new extremes yet still smooth enough to ignore random noise.
2. What the script actually does
Build a weight curve
• You pick a look-back length (default 28 bars).
• You decide whether weights fall Linearly , Exponentially , by Power-law or Logarithmically .
• A decay factor (lower = faster fade) shapes how quickly the oldest price loses influence.
• The array is normalised so all weights still sum to 1.
Rank prices by weighted mass
• Every close in the window is paired with its weight.
• The pairs are sorted from low to high.
• The cumulative weight is walked until it equals your chosen percentile level (default 50 = median).
• That price becomes the Time-Decayed Percentile .
Find dispersion with robust statistics
• Instead of a fragile standard deviation the script measures weighted Median-Absolute-Deviation about the new percentile.
• You multiply that deviation by the Deviation Multiplier slider (default 1.0) to get a non-parametric volatility band.
Build an adaptive channel
• Upper band = percentile + (multiplier × deviation)
• Lower band = percentile – (multiplier × deviation)
Normalise into a 0-100 oscillator
• The current close is mapped inside that band:
0 = lower band, 50 = centre, 100 = upper band.
• If the channel squeezes, tiny moves still travel the full scale; if volatility explodes, it automatically widens.
Optional smoothing
• A second-stage moving average (EMA, SMA, DEMA, TEMA, etc.) tames the jitter.
• Length 22 EMA by default—change it to tune reaction speed.
Threshold logic
• Upper Threshold 70 and Lower Threshold 30 separate standard overbought/oversold states.
• Extreme bands 85 and 15 paint background heat when aggressive fade or breakout trades might trigger.
Divergence engine
• Looks back twenty bars.
• Flags Bullish divergence when price makes a lower low but oscillator refuses to confirm (value < 40).
• Flags Bearish divergence when price prints a higher high but oscillator stalls (value > 60).
3. Component walk-through
• Source – Any price series. Close by default, switch to typical price or custom OHLC4 for futures spreads.
• Look-back Period – How many bars to rank. Short = faster, long = slower.
• Base Percentile Level – 50 shows relative position around the median; set to 25 / 75 for quartile tracking or 90 / 10 for extreme tails.
• Deviation Multiplier – Higher values widen the dynamic channel, lowering whipsaw but delaying signals.
• Decay Settings
– Type decides the curve shape. Exponential (default 1.16) mimics EMA logic.
– Factor < 1 shrinks influence faster; > 1 spreads influence flatter.
– Toggle Enable Time Decay off to compare with classic equal-weight stochastic.
• Smoothing Block – Choose one of seven MA flavours plus length.
• Thresholds – Overbought / Oversold / Extreme levels. Push them out when working on very mean-reverting assets like FX; pull them in for trend monsters like crypto.
• Display toggles – Show or hide threshold lines, extreme filler zones, bar colouring, divergence labels.
• Colours – Bullish green, bearish red, neutral grey. Every gradient step is automatically blended to generate a heat map across the 0-100 range.
4. How to read the chart
• Oscillator creeping above 70 = market auctioning near the top of its adaptive range.
• Fast poke above 85 with no follow-through = exhaustion fade candidate.
• Slow grind that lives above 70 for many bars = valid bullish trend, not a fade.
• Cross back through 50 shows balance has shifted; treat it like a micro trend change.
• Divergence arrows add extra confidence when you already see two-bar reversal candles at range extremes.
• Background shading (semi-transparent red / green) warns of extreme states and throttles your position size.
5. Practical trading playbook
Mean-reversion scalps
1. Wait for oscillator to reach your desired OB/ OS levels
2. Check the slope of the smoothing MA—if it is flattening the squeeze is mature.
3. Look for a one- or two-bar reversal pattern.
4. Enter against the move; first target = midline 50, second target = opposite threshold.
5. Stop loss just beyond the extreme band.
Trend continuation pullbacks
1. Identify a clean directional trend on the price chart.
2. During the trend, TDP will oscillate between midline and extreme of that side.
3. Buy dips when oscillator hits OS levels, and the same for OB levels & shorting
4. Exit when oscillator re-tags the same-side extreme or prints divergence.
Volatility regime filter
• Use the Enable Time Decay switch as a regime test.
• If equal-weight oscillator and decayed oscillator diverge widely, market is entering a new volatility regime—tighten stops and trade smaller.
Divergence confirmation for other indicators
• Pair TDP divergence arrows with MACD histogram or RSI to filter false positives.
• The weighted nature means TDP often spots divergence a bar or two earlier than standard RSI.
Swing breakout strategy
1. During consolidation, band width compresses and oscillator oscillates around 50.
2. Watch for sudden expansion where oscillator blasts through extreme bands and stays pinned.
3. Enter with momentum in breakout direction; trail stop behind upper or lower band as it re-expands.
6. Customising decay mathematics
Linear – Each older bar loses the same fixed amount of influence. Intuitive and stable; good for slow swing charts.
Exponential – Influence halves every “decay factor” steps. Mirrors EMA thinking and is fastest to react.
Power-law – Mid-history bars keep more authority than exponential but oldest data still fades. Handy for commodities where seasonality matters.
Logarithmic – The gentlest curve; weight drops sharply at first then levels off. Mimics how traders remember dramatic moves for weeks but forget ordinary noise quickly.
Turn decay off to verify the tool’s added value; most users never switch back.
7. Alert catalogue
• TD Overbought / TD Oversold – Cross of regular thresholds.
• TD Extreme OB / OS – Breach of danger zones.
• TD Bullish / Bearish Divergence – High-probability reversal watch.
• TD Midline Cross – Momentum shift that often precedes a window where trend-following systems perform.
8. Visual hygiene tips
• If you already plot price on a dark background pick Bullish Color and Bearish Color default; change to pastel tones for light themes.
• Hide threshold lines after you memorise the zones to declutter scalping layouts.
• Overlay mode set to false so the oscillator lives in its own panel; keep height about 30 % of screen for best resolution.
9. Final notes
Time-Decaying Percentile Oscillator marries robust statistical ranking, adaptive dispersion and decay-aware weighting into a simple oscillator. It respects both recent order-flow shocks and historical context, offers granular control over responsiveness and ships with divergence and alert plumbing out of the box. Bolt it onto your price action framework, trend-following system or volatility mean-reversion playbook and see how much sooner it recognises genuine extremes compared to legacy oscillators.
Backtest thoroughly, experiment with decay curves on each asset class and remember: in trading, timing beats timidity but patience beats impulse. May this tool help you find that edge.
Composite Trend Trader Module [BackQuant]Composite Trend Trader Module
Overview and Purpose
The Composite Trend Trader Module (CTM) is an invite-only Pine Script indicator designed to provide traders with a comprehensive tool for trend-following, dip-buying, and market strength assessment. By integrating multiple market data inputs—price momentum, volatility, volume, and statistical baselines—the CTM generates actionable outputs for trend identification, swing trade entries, and dip-buying opportunities. The indicator is intended for traders seeking a systematic approach to market analysis with customizable settings, while maintaining simplicity in its user interface. As a closed-source script, the underlying calculations remain proprietary, but this description outlines its functionality, features, and practical applications in trading.
Visual Components
The CTM provides the following visual elements on the chart:
• Signal Spine – A colored line (default 25-period weighted moving average) that reflects the dominant trend—green for bullish, red for bearish, and grey for neutral or transitional periods.
• Swing Triggers – Unicode markers ("𝕃" for long, "𝕊" for short) appear below or above bars when the trend shifts, signaling potential swing trade entries.
• Dip-Hunter Signals – Green arrows mark dip-buying opportunities, accompanied by faint green background highlights and forward-projecting entry lines for precise entry levels.
• Heat Meter – A horizontal strip at the bottom of the chart, graded from -50 (overheated) to +50 (deep dip), visually indicates the strength of dip conditions using a red-to-green gradient.
Core Features
The CTM comprises several components that work together to deliver a cohesive trading framework. Below is a detailed explanation of each, without disclosing proprietary calculations.
1. Universal Trend Tracking (UTT)
The UTT combines multiple momentum and statistical indicators into a single composite score ranging from -1 to +1. This score is derived from:
• Price-based momentum metrics.
• Volatility-adjusted thresholds.
• Statistical measures of price deviation and market structure.
When the UTT score exceeds +0.2, the market is considered in an actionable uptrend; below -0.2, a downtrend is identified. Values between these thresholds indicate a neutral or choppy market, helping traders avoid low-probability setups during consolidation.
2. Signal Spine
The signal spine is a 25-period weighted moving average of price, colored according to the UTT score (green for bullish, red for bearish, grey for neutral). This line serves as a visual anchor for tracking the prevailing trend and highlights regime changes in real time, enabling traders to align their strategies with market direction.
3. Swing Triggers (𝕃/𝕊)
Swing trade signals are generated when the UTT crosses the zero line, indicating a shift in market regime. A "𝕃" marker appears below the bar for a bullish crossover (potential long entry), and a "𝕊" marker appears above for a bearish crossover (potential short entry). These signals incorporate volatility-adaptive thresholds to minimize false triggers during low-volatility periods, improving reliability compared to traditional moving-average crossovers.
4. Dip-Hunter Engine
The Dip-Hunter subsystem identifies high-probability dip-buying opportunities by evaluating five conditions:
• Dip Magnitude – The price must have fallen by a user-defined percentage (default 2%) from a recent swing high, calculated over a specified lookback period (default 5 bars).
• Volume Burst – Current volume must exceed the average volume over a user-defined lookback (default 65 bars) by a specified multiplier (default 2x).
• Volatility Spike – The intraday range or Average True Range (ATR) must exceed a statistical baseline by a user-defined multiplier (default 1.5x).
• Structural Permission – Price must be below a fast Exponential Moving Average (EMA, default 20 periods), and the market structure must be bearish (fast EMA below slow EMA, default 50 periods).
• Trend Filter (Optional) – When enabled, dip signals are only generated if the UTT indicates a bullish trend, preventing trades against a bearish macro environment.
When these conditions align, the Dip-Hunter plots a green arrow, highlights the candle background, and draws a forward-projecting horizontal line at a user-selected price level (Low, Close, or calculated dip percentage).
5. Strength Score and Heat Meter
Each bar is assigned a strength score (0 to 5, or -50 to +50 when scaled for the heat meter) based on the following criteria:
• +1 for meeting the dip threshold.
• +1 for a volume spike.
• +1 for a volume momentum spike (based on rate-of-change).
• +1 for a confirmed volatility spike.
• +1 if price is below the fast EMA.
• +2 if the macro trend filter is bullish (when enabled).
The heat meter visualizes this score as a pointer on a red-to-green gradient strip, enabling traders to quickly assess the intensity of dip conditions and prioritize high-quality setups.
6. Entry-Line Generator
For each dip signal, the CTM draws a forward-projecting horizontal line to mark potential entry levels. Traders can configure:
• The price level for the line (Low, Close, or exact dip percentage).
• The duration of the line (default 100 bars).
• A minimum gap between signals (default 5 bars) to prevent overlapping lines during clustered events.
These lines serve as visual guides for setting limit orders or stop-loss levels.
7. Alerts
The CTM includes seven pre-configured alert conditions to support automated workflows:
• CTM Long/Short – Triggered on bullish or bearish UTT zero-line crossovers for swing trades.
• Market Overheated – Activates when the strength score falls below -40, indicating potential exhaustion.
• Close to Dip – Signals when the strength score reaches 0.6, suggesting an impending dip opportunity.
• Dip Confirmed – Fires on the first bar meeting all dip conditions.
• Dip Active – Triggers while dip conditions remain valid.
• Dip Fading – Activates when the strength score crosses below 0.5, indicating a weakening dip.
• Trend-Blocked – Alerts when dip conditions are met but blocked by the trend filter.
These alerts can be routed to brokers or trading bots for seamless execution.
"CPM Long Signal {{exchange}}:{{ticker}}")
"CPM Short Signal {{exchange}}:{{ticker}}")
"Market overheated {{ticker}}")
"Close to a dip {{ticker}}")
"Dip confirmed {{ticker}}")
"Dip active {{ticker}}")
"Dip strength fading {{ticker}}")
"Signal blocked by trend filter {{ticker}}")
User Controls
The CTM offers extensive customization to adapt to different trading styles and preferences:
• Signal Settings – Toggle the signal spine, composite score plot, swing triggers, and bar coloring. Adjust line width for visibility.
• Display Settings – Customize bullish, bearish, and neutral colors to match chart templates.
• Dip-Hunter Settings – Configure volume lookback, spike multipliers, EMA periods, volatility thresholds, dip percentage, and lookback bars.
• Trend Filter – Enable or disable the requirement for a bullish UTT before dip signals are generated.
• Strength & Meter – Toggle bar coloring based on the strength score, adjust the number of meter cells (default 60), and select meter position (e.g., bottom-center).
• Entry Settings – Control entry line visibility, length, and price source (Low, Close, or dip percentage).
Trading Applications
The CTM supports multiple trading strategies, each leveraging its outputs for specific market conditions:
• Trend-Ride Mode – Trade in the direction of the signal spine. Enter long positions on the first "𝕃" marker in a green (bullish) regime, and scale out when the UTT returns to grey (neutral). This is ideal for trend-following traders seeking to capture sustained moves, with the first signal in a new trend regime offering high statistical expectancy.
• Forced Dip Entries – Enable the trend filter and focus on dip signals (green arrows). Place limit orders at the entry line, set stops below the line, and target the midpoint of the prior value area (e.g., using support/resistance levels). This suits mean-reversion traders aiming to buy dips in bullish trends, with clear risk management via entry lines.
• Scalp Confirmation – Hide the signal spine and use bar coloring to identify short-term momentum. Green bars indicate broad buying pressure, while red bars warn against long scalps in oversold conditions. This is useful for intraday scalpers seeking confirmation of momentum before entering trades.
• Event Guardrails – Avoid trading when the heat meter is below -40 before major economic releases (e.g., FOMC, CPI), as spreads and slippage may widen. This enhances risk management by flagging high-risk periods during macroeconomic events.
• Multi-Timeframe Analysis – Apply the CTM on a daily timeframe in a secondary pane and a lower timeframe (e.g., hourly) on the primary chart. Trade only when both timeframes align (e.g., both in bullish regimes). This increases conviction for swing or position traders by confirming trend alignment across timeframes.
Frequently Asked Questions
• How does the CTM differ from a moving-average ribbon? The CTM integrates multiple momentum, volatility, and statistical indicators, using adaptive thresholds and proprietary calculations to respond faster to structural changes while filtering noise more effectively than traditional dual-EMA systems.
• Can the underlying formulas be accessed? No, the script is closed-source, and calculations are protected to preserve intellectual property. Users receive all outputs, alerts, and customizable parameters.
• Does the indicator repaint? No, all calculations use confirmed historical data without look-ahead bias. Entry lines are static from the signal bar.
• Which markets is it suitable for? The CTM is optimized for equities, futures, and cryptocurrencies. Adjust dip percentage and volume multipliers for low-liquidity markets.
• What about latency? The script uses efficient Pine Script functions and lightweight loops, ensuring minimal performance impact.
Limitations and Best Practices
• Market-Specific Tuning – Thinly traded markets may require adjustments to dip percentage and volume thresholds to avoid excessive signals.
• Complementary Tools – Combine the CTM with price action, support/resistance levels, or order flow analysis to confirm signals and avoid over-reliance on the indicator.
• Event Risk – Be cautious during high-impact news events, as volatility spikes may trigger signals that are quickly reversed.
• Trend Filter Use – Enabling the trend filter reduces false dip signals in bearish markets but may delay entries in rapidly reversing markets.
Conclusion
The Composite Trend Trader Module consolidates trend-following, dip-buying, and strength assessment into a single, customizable indicator. By providing clear visual cues, actionable alerts, and flexible settings, it equips traders with a robust framework for navigating various market conditions. While the proprietary calculations remain protected, the CTM’s outputs enable traders to make informed decisions, align strategies with market regimes, and manage risk effectively. Use it as a strategic tool alongside sound risk management and complementary analysis for optimal results.
Recession Warning Model [BackQuant]Recession Warning Model
Overview
The Recession Warning Model (RWM) is a Pine Script® indicator designed to estimate the probability of an economic recession by integrating multiple macroeconomic, market sentiment, and labor market indicators. It combines over a dozen data series into a transparent, adaptive, and actionable tool for traders, portfolio managers, and researchers. The model provides customizable complexity levels, display modes, and data processing options to accommodate various analytical requirements while ensuring robustness through dynamic weighting and regime-aware adjustments.
Purpose
The RWM fulfills the need for a concise yet comprehensive tool to monitor recession risk. Unlike approaches relying on a single metric, such as yield-curve inversion, or extensive economic reports, it consolidates multiple data sources into a single probability output. The model identifies active indicators, their confidence levels, and the current economic regime, enabling users to anticipate downturns and adjust strategies accordingly.
Core Features
- Indicator Families : Incorporates 13 indicators across five categories: Yield, Labor, Sentiment, Production, and Financial Stress.
- Dynamic Weighting : Adjusts indicator weights based on recent predictive accuracy, constrained within user-defined boundaries.
- Leading and Coincident Split : Separates early-warning (leading) and confirmatory (coincident) signals, with adjustable weighting (default 60/40 mix).
- Economic Regime Sensitivity : Modulates output sensitivity based on market conditions (Expansion, Late-Cycle, Stress, Crisis), using a composite of VIX, yield-curve, financial conditions, and credit spreads.
- Display Options : Supports four modes—Probability (0-100%), Binary (four risk bins), Lead/Coincident, and Ensemble (blended probability).
- Confidence Intervals : Reflects model stability, widening during high volatility or conflicting signals.
- Alerts : Configurable thresholds (Watch, Caution, Warning, Alert) with persistence filters to minimize false signals.
- Data Export : Enables CSV output for probabilities, signals, and regimes, facilitating external analysis in Python or R.
Model Complexity Levels
Users can select from four tiers to balance simplicity and depth:
1. Essential : Focuses on three core indicators—yield-curve spread, jobless claims, and unemployment change—for minimalistic monitoring.
2. Standard : Expands to nine indicators, adding consumer confidence, PMI, VIX, S&P 500 trend, money supply vs. GDP, and the Sahm Rule.
3. Professional : Includes all 13 indicators, incorporating financial conditions, credit spreads, JOLTS vacancies, and wage growth.
4. Research : Unlocks all indicators plus experimental settings for advanced users.
Key Indicators
Below is a summary of the 13 indicators, their data sources, and economic significance:
- Yield-Curve Spread : Difference between 10-year and 3-month Treasury yields. Negative spreads signal banking sector stress.
- Jobless Claims : Four-week moving average of unemployment claims. Sustained increases indicate rising layoffs.
- Unemployment Change : Three-month change in unemployment rate. Sharp rises often precede recessions.
- Sahm Rule : Triggers when unemployment rises 0.5% above its 12-month low, a reliable recession indicator.
- Consumer Confidence : University of Michigan survey. Declines reflect household pessimism, impacting spending.
- PMI : Purchasing Managers’ Index. Values below 50 indicate manufacturing contraction.
- VIX : CBOE Volatility Index. Elevated levels suggest market anticipation of economic distress.
- S&P 500 Growth : Weekly moving average trend. Declines reduce wealth effects, curbing consumption.
- M2 + GDP Trend : Monitors money supply and real GDP. Simultaneous declines signal credit contraction.
- NFCI : Chicago Fed’s National Financial Conditions Index. Positive values indicate tighter conditions.
- Credit Spreads : Proxy for corporate bond spreads using 10-year vs. 2-year Treasury yields. Widening spreads reflect stress.
- JOLTS Vacancies : Job openings data. Significant drops precede hiring slowdowns.
- Wage Growth : Year-over-year change in average hourly earnings. Late-cycle spikes often signal economic overheating.
Data Processing
- Rate of Change (ROC) : Optionally applied to capture momentum in data series (default: 21-bar period).
- Z-Score Normalization : Standardizes indicators to a common scale (default: 252-bar lookback).
- Smoothing : Applies a short moving average to final signals (default: 5-bar period) to reduce noise.
- Binary Signals : Generated for each indicator (e.g., yield-curve inverted or PMI below 50) based on thresholds or Z-score deviations.
Probability Calculation
1. Each indicator’s binary signal is weighted according to user settings or dynamic performance.
2. Weights are normalized to sum to 100% across active indicators.
3. Leading and coincident signals are aggregated separately (if split mode is enabled) and combined using the specified mix.
4. The probability is adjusted by a regime multiplier, amplifying risk during Stress or Crisis regimes.
5. Optional smoothing ensures stable outputs.
Display and Visualization
- Probability Mode : Plots a continuous 0-100% recession probability with color gradients and confidence bands.
- Binary Mode : Categorizes risk into four levels (Minimal, Watch, Caution, Alert) for simplified dashboards.
- Lead/Coincident Mode : Displays leading and coincident probabilities separately to track signal divergence.
- Ensemble Mode : Averages traditional and split probabilities for a balanced view.
- Regime Background : Color-coded overlays (green for Expansion, orange for Late-Cycle, amber for Stress, red for Crisis).
- Analytics Table : Optional dashboard showing probability, confidence, regime, and top indicator statuses.
Practical Applications
- Asset Allocation : Adjust equity or bond exposures based on sustained probability increases.
- Risk Management : Hedge portfolios with VIX futures or options during regime shifts to Stress or Crisis.
- Sector Rotation : Shift toward defensive sectors when coincident signals rise above 50%.
- Trading Filters : Disable short-term strategies during high-risk regimes.
- Event Timing : Scale positions ahead of high-impact data releases when probability and VIX are elevated.
Configuration Guidelines
- Enable ROC and Z-score for consistent indicator comparison unless raw data is preferred.
- Use dynamic weighting with at least one economic cycle of data for optimal performance.
- Monitor stress composite scores above 80 alongside probabilities above 70 for critical risk signals.
- Adjust adaptation speed (default: 0.1) to 0.2 during Crisis regimes for faster indicator prioritization.
- Combine RWM with complementary tools (e.g., liquidity metrics) for intraday or short-term trading.
Limitations
- Macro indicators lag intraday market moves, making RWM better suited for strategic rather than tactical trading.
- Historical data availability may constrain dynamic weighting on shorter timeframes.
- Model accuracy depends on the quality and timeliness of economic data feeds.
Final Note
The Recession Warning Model provides a disciplined framework for monitoring economic downturn risks. By integrating diverse indicators with transparent weighting and regime-aware adjustments, it empowers users to make informed decisions in portfolio management, risk hedging, or macroeconomic research. Regular review of model outputs alongside market-specific tools ensures its effective application across varying market conditions.
MP Master VWAP [BackQuant]MP Master VWAP
Overview
MP Master VWAP is an, volume-weighted average price suite. It re-anchors automatically to any time partition you select—Day, Week, Month, Quarter or Year—and builds an adaptive standard-deviation envelope, optional pivot clusters and context-aware candle colouring so you can read balance, imbalance and auction edges in a single glance. We use private methods on calculating key levels, making them adaptive and more responsive. This is not just a plain VWAP.
Key Components
• Anchored VWAP core – The engine resets VWAP the instant a new session for the chosen anchor begins. Separator lines and a live high–low box make those rotations obvious.
• Dynamic sigma bands – Three upper and three lower bands, scaled by real-time standard deviation. 1-σ filters noise, 2-σ marks momentum, 3-σ flags exhaustion.
• Previous-period memory – The prior session’s VWAP and bands stay on-screen in a muted style so you can trade retests of last month’s value without clutter.
• High-precision price labels – VWAP and every active band print their prices on the hard right edge; labels vanish if you want a cleaner chart.
• Pivot package – Choose Traditional, Fibonacci or Camarilla calculations on a Daily, Weekly or Monthly look-back. Levels plot as subtle circles that complement, not compete with, the VWAP map.
• Context candles – Bars tint relative to their location: vivid red above U2, soft red between U1-U2, neutral grey inside value, soft green between L2-L1, vivid green below L2.
Customisation Highlights
Period section
• Anchor reset drop-down
• Toggles for separator lines and period high/low
Band section
• Independent visibility for L1/U1, L2/U2, L3/U3
• Individual multipliers to fit any volatility profile
• Optional real-time price labels
Pivot section
• Three formula choices
• Independent timeframe—mix a Monthly VWAP with Weekly Camarilla for confluence
Visual section
• Separate switches for current vs previous envelopes
• Candle-colour toggle for traders who prefer raw price bars
Colour section
• Full palette selectors to match dark or light themes instantly
Some Potential Ways it can be used:
Mean-reversion fade – Price spikes into U2 or U3 and stalls (especially at a pivot). Fade back toward VWAP; scale out at U1 and VWAP.
Trend continuation – Close above U1 on rising volume; trail a stop behind U1. Mirror setup for shorts under L1.
Breakout validation – Session gaps below previous VWAP but quickly reclaims it. Use the cross-above alert to automate entry and target U1 / U2.
Overnight inventory flush – Globex extremes that tag L2 / U2 often reverse at the cash open; scalp rotations back to VWAP.
Risk framing – Let the gap between VWAP and L2 / U2 dictate position size, keeping reward-to-risk consistent across assets.
Alerts Included
• Cross above / below current VWAP
• Cross first sigma bands (U1 / L1)
• Break above second sigma bands (U2) or below L2
• Touch of third sigma bands (U3 / L3)
• Cross of previous-period VWAP
• New period high or low
Best Practices
• Tighten sigma multipliers on thin-liquidity symbols; widen them on index futures or high-cap crypto.
• Pair the envelope with order-flow or footprint tools to confirm participation at band edges.
• On intraday charts, anchor a higher-timeframe VWAP (e.g., Monthly on a 15-minute) to reveal institutional accumulation.
• Treat the previous period’s VWAP as yesterday’s fair value—gaps that never revisit it often morph into trend days.
Final Notes
MP Master VWAP condenses auction-market theory into one readable overlay: automatic period resets, adaptive deviation bands, historical memory, multi-style pivots and self-explanatory colour coding. You can deploy it on equities, futures, crypto or FX—wherever volume meets time, VWAP remains the benchmark of true price discovery.
FEDFUNDS Rate Divergence Oscillator [BackQuant]FEDFUNDS Rate Divergence Oscillator
1. Concept and Rationale
The United States Federal Funds Rate is the anchor around which global dollar liquidity and risk-free yield expectations revolve. When the Fed hikes, borrowing costs rise, liquidity tightens and most risk assets encounter head-winds. When it cuts, liquidity expands, speculative appetite often recovers. Bitcoin, a 24-hour permissionless asset sometimes described as “digital gold with venture-capital-like convexity,” is particularly sensitive to macro-liquidity swings.
The FED Divergence Oscillator quantifies the behavioural gap between short-term monetary policy (proxied by the effective Fed Funds Rate) and Bitcoin’s own percentage price change. By converting each series into identical rate-of-change units, subtracting them, then optionally smoothing the result, the script produces a single bounded-yet-dynamic line that tells you, at a glance, whether Bitcoin is outperforming or underperforming the policy backdrop—and by how much.
2. Data Pipeline
• Fed Funds Rate – Pulled directly from the FRED database via the ticker “FRED:FEDFUNDS,” sampled at daily frequency to synchronise with crypto closes.
• Bitcoin Price – By default the script forces a daily timeframe so that both series share time alignment, although you can disable that and plot the oscillator on intraday charts if you prefer.
• User Source Flexibility – The BTC series is not hard-wired; you can select any exchange-specific symbol or even swap BTC for another crypto or risk asset whose interaction with the Fed rate you wish to study.
3. Math under the Hood
(1) Rate of Change (ROC) – Both the Fed rate and BTC close are converted to percent return over a user-chosen lookback (default 30 bars). This means a cut from 5.25 percent to 5.00 percent feeds in as –4.76 percent, while a climb from 25 000 to 30 000 USD in BTC over the same window converts to +20 percent.
(2) Divergence Construction – The script subtracts the Fed ROC from the BTC ROC. Positive values show BTC appreciating faster than policy is tightening (or falling slower than the rate is cutting); negative values show the opposite.
(3) Optional Smoothing – Macro series are noisy. Toggle “Apply Smoothing” to calm the line with your preferred moving-average flavour: SMA, EMA, DEMA, TEMA, RMA, WMA or Hull. The default EMA-25 removes day-to-day whips while keeping turning points alive.
(4) Dynamic Colour Mapping – Rather than using a single hue, the oscillator line employs a gradient where deep greens represent strong bullish divergence and dark reds flag sharp bearish divergence. This heat-map approach lets you gauge intensity without squinting at numbers.
(5) Threshold Grid – Five horizontal guides create a structured regime map:
• Lower Extreme (–50 pct) and Upper Extreme (+50 pct) identify panic capitulations and euphoria blow-offs.
• Oversold (–20 pct) and Overbought (+20 pct) act as early warning alarms.
• Zero Line demarcates neutral alignment.
4. Chart Furniture and User Interface
• Oscillator fill with a secondary DEMA-30 “shader” offers depth perception: fat ribbons often precede high-volatility macro shifts.
• Optional bar-colouring paints candles green when the oscillator is above zero and red below, handy for visual correlation.
• Background tints when the line breaches extreme zones, making macro inflection weeks pop out in the replay bar.
• Everything—line width, thresholds, colours—can be customised so the indicator blends into any template.
5. Interpretation Guide
Macro Liquidity Pulse
• When the oscillator spends weeks above +20 while the Fed is still raising rates, Bitcoin is signalling liquidity tolerance or an anticipatory pivot view. That condition often marks the embryonic phase of major bull cycles (e.g., March 2020 rebound).
• Sustained prints below –20 while the Fed is already dovish indicate risk aversion or idiosyncratic crypto stress—think exchange scandals or broad flight to safety.
Regime Transition Signals
• Bullish cross through zero after a long sub-zero stint shows Bitcoin regaining upward escape velocity versus policy.
• Bearish cross under zero during a hiking cycle tells you monetary tightening has finally started to bite.
Momentum Exhaustion and Mean-Reversion
• Touches of +50 (or –50) come rarely; they are statistically stretched events. Fade strategies either taking profits or hedging have historically enjoyed positive expectancy.
• Inside-bar candlestick patterns or lower-timeframe bearish engulfings simultaneously with an extreme overbought print make high-probability short scalp setups, especially near weekly resistance. The same logic mirrors for oversold.
Pair Trading / Relative Value
• Combine the oscillator with spreads like BTC versus Nasdaq 100. When both the FED Divergence oscillator and the BTC–NDQ relative-strength line roll south together, the cross-asset confirmation amplifies conviction in a mean-reversion short.
• Swap BTC for miners, altcoins or high-beta equities to test who is the divergence leader.
Event-Driven Tactics
• FOMC days: plot the oscillator on an hourly chart (disable ‘Force Daily TF’). Watch for micro-structural spikes that resolve in the first hour after the statement; rapid flips across zero can front-run post-FOMC swings.
• CPI and NFP prints: extremes reached into the release often mean positioning is one-sided. A reversion toward neutral in the first 24 hours is common.
6. Alerts Suite
Pre-bundled conditions let you automate workflows:
• Bullish / Bearish zero crosses – queue spot or futures entries.
• Standard OB / OS – notify for first contact with actionable zones.
• Extreme OB / OS – prime time to review hedges, take profits or build contrarian swing positions.
7. Parameter Playground
• Shorten ROC Lookback to 14 for tactical traders; lengthen to 90 for macro investors.
• Raise extreme thresholds (for example ±80) when plotting on altcoins that exhibit higher volatility than BTC.
• Try HMA smoothing for responsive yet smooth curves on intraday charts.
• Colour-blind users can easily swap bull and bear palette selections for preferred contrasts.
8. Limitations and Best Practices
• The Fed Funds series is step-wise; it only changes on meeting days. Rapid BTC oscillations in between may dominate the calculation. Keep that perspective when interpreting very high-frequency signals.
• Divergence does not equal causation. Crypto-native catalysts (ETF approvals, hack headlines) can overwhelm macro links temporarily.
• Use in conjunction with classical confirmation tools—order-flow footprints, market-profile ledges, or simple price action to avoid “pure-indicator” traps.
9. Final Thoughts
The FEDFUNDS Rate Divergence Oscillator distills an entire macro narrative monetary policy versus risk sentiment into a single colourful heartbeat. It will not magically predict every pivot, yet it excels at framing market context, spotting stretches and timing regime changes. Treat it as a strategic compass rather than a tactical sniper scope, combine it with sound risk management and multi-factor confirmation, and you will possess a robust edge anchored in the world’s most influential interest-rate benchmark.
Trade consciously, stay adaptive, and let the policy-price tension guide your roadmap.
CHoCH + BOS + LQ Sweep v6.3.8 PRO+The CHoCH + BOS + LQ Sweep PRO indicator is a comprehensive Smart Money Concepts (SMC) tool designed to identify market structure shifts, liquidity sweeps, and key supply-demand zones across multiple timeframes. It helps traders visualize crucial price action patterns like Change of Character (CHoCH), Break of Structure (BOS), and liquidity grabs that often precede significant market reversals or continuations.
This tool is especially suited for traders applying multi-timeframe analysis and liquidity-based trading strategies on Forex, crypto, indices, or commodities.
1. Liquidity Sweeps (LQ Sweeps)
Identifies when price sweeps previous highs/lows (stop hunts/liquidity grabs).
Configurable strength setting to filter minor vs. major sweeps.
Optional stop at wick or stop at close logic for more precise entries.
Old sweeps can be displayed or hidden, with user-defined limits for historical sweeps.
2. Multi-Timeframe (HTF) Sweeps
Displays liquidity sweeps from higher timeframes (M15, H1, H4, D1, W1).
Individual checkboxes allow flexible combinations (e.g., show only H1 & H4 sweeps).
Unique colors for each timeframe to differentiate visually on the chart.
3. Supply/Demand Zones
Automatically plots zones around swing highs and lows.
Zones are dynamically updated and locked once price interacts with them.
Configurable view: Show both bullish/bearish zones or filter for one side only.
Option to display/hide old zones and limit the number of zones shown.
4. Historical Sweep Management
Stores up to 5000 sweeps internally, while adhering to TradingView’s rendering limits (max 500 drawn).
Ensures chart clarity by prioritizing the most recent sweeps.
Price Exhaustion Envelope [BackQuant]Price Exhaustion Envelope
Visual preview of the bands:
What it is
The Price Exhaustion Envelope (PEE) is a multi‑factor overextension detector wrapped inside a dynamic envelope framework. It measures how “tired” a move is by blending price stretch, volume surges, momentum and acceleration, plus optional RSI divergence. The result is a composite exhaustion score that drives both on‑chart signals and the adaptive width of three optional envelope bands around a smoothed baseline. When the score spikes above or below your chosen threshold, the script can flag exhaustion, paint candles, tint the background and fire alerts.
How it works under the hood
Exhaustion score
Price component: distance of close from its mean in standard deviation units.
Volume component: normalized volume pressure that highlights unusual participation.
Momentum component: rate of change and acceleration of price, scaled by their own volatility.
RSI divergence (optional): bullish and bearish divergences gently push the score lower or higher.
Mode control: choose Price, Volume, Momentum or Composite. Composite averages the main pieces for a balanced view.
Energy scale (0 to 100)
The composite score is pushed through a logistic transform to create an “energy” value. High energy (above 70 to 80) signals a move that may be running hot, while very low energy (below 20 to 30) points to exhaustion on the downside.
Envelope engine
Baseline: EMA of price over the main lookback length.
Width: base width is standard deviation times a multiplier.
Type selector:
• Static keeps the width fixed.
• Dynamic expands width in proportion to the absolute exhaustion score.
• Adaptive links width to the energy reading so bands breathe with market “heat.”
Smoothing: a short EMA on the width reduces jitter and keeps bands pleasant to trade around.
Band architecture
You can toggle up to three symmetric bands on each side of the baseline. They default to 1.0, 1.6 and 2.2 multiples of the smoothed width. Soft transparent fills create a layered thermograph of extension. The outermost band often maps to true blow‑off extremes.
On‑chart elements
Baseline line that flips color in real time depending on where price sits.
Up to three upper and lower bands with progressive opacity.
Triangle markers at fresh exhaustion triggers.
Tiny warning glyphs at extreme upper or lower breaches.
Optional bar coloring to visually tag exhausted candles.
Background halo when energy > 80 or < 20 for instant context.
A compact info table showing State, Score, Energy, Momentum score and where price sits inside the envelope (percent).
How to use it in trading
Mean reversion plays
When price pierces the outer band and an exhaustion marker prints, look for reversal candles or lower‑timeframe confirmation to fade the move back toward the baseline.
For conservative entries, wait for the composite score to roll back under the threshold or for energy to drop from extreme to neutral.
Set stops just beyond the extreme levels (use extreme_upper and extreme_lower as natural invalidation points). Targets can be the baseline or the opposite inner band.
Trend continuation with smart pullbacks
In strong trends, the first tag of Band 1 or Band 2 against the dominant direction often offers low‑risk continuation entries. Use energy readings: if energy is low on a pullback during an uptrend, a bounce is more likely.
Combine with RSI divergence: hidden bullish divergence near a lower band in an uptrend can be a powerful confirmation.
Breakout filtering
A breakout that occurs while the composite score is still moderate (not exhausted) has a higher chance of follow‑through. Skip signals when energy is already above 80 and price is punching the outer band, as the move may be late.
Watch env_position (Envelope %) in the table. Breakouts near 40 to 60 percent of the envelope are “healthy,” while those at 95 percent are stretched.
Scaling out and risk control
Use exhaustion alerts to trim positions into strength or weakness.
Trail stops just outside Band 2 or Band 3 to stay in trends while letting the envelope expand in volatile phases.
Multi‑timeframe confluence
Run the script on a higher timeframe to locate exhaustion context, then drill down to a lower timeframe for entries.
Opposite signals across timeframes (daily exhaustion vs. 5‑minute breakout) warn you to reduce size or tighten management.
Key inputs to experiment with
Lookback Period: larger values smooth the score and envelope, ideal for swing trading. Shorter values make it reactive for scalps.
Exhaustion Threshold: raise above 2.0 in choppy assets to cut noise, drop to 1.5 for smooth FX pairs.
Envelope Type: Dynamic is great for crypto spikes, Adaptive shines in stocks where volume and volatility wave together.
RSI Divergence: turn off if you prefer a pure price/volume model or if divergence floods the score in your asset.
Alert set included
Fresh upper exhaustion
Fresh lower exhaustion
Extreme upper breach
Extreme lower breach
RSI bearish divergence
RSI bullish divergence
Hook these to TradingView notifications so you get pinged the moment a move hits exhaustion.
Best practices
Always pair exhaustion signals with structure. Support and resistance, liquidity pools and session opens matter.
Avoid blindly shorting every upper signal in a roaring bull market. Let the envelope type help you filter.
Use the table to sanity‑check: a very high score but mid‑range env_position means the band may still be wide enough to absorb more movement.
Backtest threshold combinations on your instrument. Different tickers carry different volatility fingerprints.
Final note
Price Exhaustion Envelope is a flexible framework, not a turnkey system. It excels as a context layer that tells you when the crowd is pressing too hard or when a move still has fuel. Combine it with sound execution tactics, risk limits and market awareness. Trade safe and let the envelope breathe with the market.
First Round Break TrackerA simple indicator that tracks the first-time breakouts of round number levels (psychological levels) on any chart. Clean interface with minimal configuration needed
First Breakout Only : Marks each round level only once when broken for the first time
Customizable Step Size : Adjustable round number intervals (e.g., 100, 1000, 10000 etc.)
Clean Visual Alerts : Green labels with "FIRST:" prefix appear exactly at breakout moments
Real-time Info Panel : Shows current price, next target level, and total breakouts count
Fibonacci Sequence Moving Average [BackQuant]Fibonacci Sequence Moving Average with Adaptive Oscillator
1. Overview
The Fibonacci Sequence Moving Average indicator is a two‑part trading framework that combines a custom moving average built from the famous Fibonacci number set with a fully featured oscillator, normalisation engine and divergence suite. The moving average half delivers an adaptive trend line that respects natural market rhythms, while the oscillator half translates that trend information into a bounded momentum stream that is easy to read, easy to compare across assets and rich in confluence signals. Everything from weighting logic to colour palettes can be customised, so the tool comfortably fits scalpers zooming into one‑minute candles as well as position traders running multi‑month trend following campaigns.
2. Core Calculation
Fibonacci periods – The default length array is 5, 8, 13, 21, 34. A single multiplier input lets you scale the whole family up or down without breaking the golden‑ratio spacing. For example a multiplier of 3 yields 15, 24, 39, 63, 102.
Component averages – Each period is passed through Simple Moving Average logic to produce five baseline curves (ma1 through ma5).
Weighting methods – You decide how those five values are blended:
• Equal weighting treats every curve the same.
• Linear weighting applies factors 1‑to‑5 so the slowest curve counts five times as much as the fastest.
• Exponential weighting doubles each step for a fast‑reacting yet still smooth line.
• Fibonacci weighting multiplies each curve by its own period value, honouring the spirit of ratio mathematics.
Smoothing engine – The blended average is then smoothed a second time with your choice of SMA, EMA, DEMA, TEMA, RMA, WMA or HMA. A short smoothing length keeps the result lively, while longer lengths create institution‑grade glide paths that act like dynamic support and resistance.
3. Oscillator Construction
Once the smoothed Fib MA is in place, the script generates a raw oscillator value in one of three flavours:
• Distance – Percentage distance between price and the average. Great for mean‑reversion.
• Momentum – Percentage change of the average itself. Ideal for trend acceleration studies.
• Relative – Distance divided by Average True Range for volatility‑aware scaling.
That raw series is pushed through a look‑back normaliser that rescales every reading into a fixed −100 to +100 window. The normalisation window defaults to 100 bars but can be tightened for fast markets or expanded to capture long regimes.
4. Visual Layer
The oscillator line is gradient‑coloured from deep red through sky blue into bright green, so you can spot subtle momentum shifts with peripheral vision alone. There are four horizontal guide lines: Extreme Bear at −50, Bear Threshold at −20, Bull Threshold at +20 and Extreme Bull at +50. Soft fills above and below the thresholds reinforce the zones without cluttering the chart.
The smoothed Fib MA can be plotted directly on price for immediate trend context, and each of the five component averages can be revealed for educational or research purposes. Optional bar‑painting mirrors oscillator polarity, tinting candles green when momentum is bullish and red when momentum is bearish.
5. Divergence Detection
The script automatically looks for four classes of divergences between price pivots and oscillator pivots:
Regular Bullish, signalling a possible bottom when price prints a lower low but the oscillator prints a higher low.
Hidden Bullish, often a trend‑continuation cue when price makes a higher low while the oscillator slips to a lower low.
Regular Bearish, marking potential tops when price carves a higher high yet the oscillator steps down.
Hidden Bearish, hinting at ongoing downside when price posts a lower high while the oscillator pushes to a higher high.
Each event is tagged with an ℝ or ℍ label at the oscillator pivot, colour‑coded for clarity. Look‑back distances for left and right pivots are fully adjustable so you can fine‑tune sensitivity.
6. Alerts
Five ready‑to‑use alert conditions are included:
• Bullish when the oscillator crosses above +20.
• Bearish when it crosses below −20.
• Extreme Bullish when it pops above +50.
• Extreme Bearish when it dives below −50.
• Zero Cross for momentum inflection.
Attach any of these to TradingView notifications and stay updated without staring at charts.
7. Practical Applications
Swing trading trend filter – Plot the smoothed Fib MA on daily candles and only trade in its direction. Enter on oscillator retracements to the 0 line.
Intraday reversal scouting – On short‑term charts let Distance mode highlight overshoots beyond ±40, then fade those moves back to mean.
Volatility breakout timing – Use Relative mode during earnings season or crypto news cycles to spot momentum surges that adjust for changing ATR.
Divergence confirmation – Layer the oscillator beneath price structure to validate double bottoms, double tops and head‑and‑shoulders patterns.
8. Input Summary
• Source, Fibonacci multiplier, weighting method, smoothing length and type
• Oscillator calculation mode and normalisation look‑back
• Divergence look‑back settings and signal length
• Show or hide options for every visual element
• Full colour and line width customisation
9. Best Practices
Avoid using tiny multipliers on illiquid assets where the shortest Fibonacci window may drop under three bars. In strong trends reduce divergence sensitivity or you may see false counter‑trend flags. For portfolio scanning set oscillator to Momentum mode, hide thresholds and colour bars only, which turns the indicator into a heat‑map that quickly highlights leaders and laggards.
10. Final Notes
The Fibonacci Sequence Moving Average indicator seeks to fuse the mathematical elegance of the golden ratio with modern signal‑processing techniques. It is not a standalone trading system, rather a multi‑purpose information layer that shines when combined with market structure, volume analysis and disciplined risk management. Always test parameters on historical data, be mindful of slippage and remember that past performance is never a guarantee of future results. Trade wisely and enjoy the harmony of Fibonacci mathematics in your technical toolkit.
Weighted Multi-Mode Oscillator [BackQuant]Weighted Multi‑Mode Oscillator
1. What Is It?
The Weighted Multi‑Mode Oscillator (WMMO) is a next‑generation momentum tool that turns a dynamically‑weighted moving average into a 0‑100 bounded oscillator.
It lets you decide how each bar is weighted (by volume, volatility, momentum or a hybrid blend) and how the result is normalised (Percentile, Z‑Score or Min‑Max).
The outcome is a self‑adapting gauge that delivers crystal‑clear overbought / oversold zones, divergence clues and regime shifts on any market or timeframe.
2. How It Works
• Dynamic Weight Engine
▪ Volume – emphasises bars with exceptional participation.
▪ Volatility – inverse ATR weighting filters noisy spikes.
▪ Momentum – amplifies strong directional ROC bursts.
▪ Hybrid – equal‑weight blend of the three dimensions.
• Multi‑Mode Smoothing
Choose from 8 MA types (EMA, DEMA, HMA, LINREG, TEMA, RMA, SMA, WMA) plus a secondary smoothing factor to fine‑tune lag vs. responsiveness.
• Normalization Suite
▪ Percentile – rank vs. recent history (context aware).
▪ Z‑Score – standard deviations from mean (statistical extremes).
▪ Min‑Max – scale between rolling high/low (trend friendly).
3. Reading the Oscillator
Zone Default Level Interpretation
Bull > 80 Acceleration; momentum buyers in control
Neutral 20 – 80 Consolidation / no edge
Bear < 20 Exhaustion; sellers dominate
Gradient line/area automatically shades from bright green (strong bull) to deep red (strong bear).
Optional bar‑painting colours price bars the same way for rapid chart scanning.
4. Typical Use‑Cases
Trend Confirmation – Set Weight = Hybrid, Smoothing = EMA. Enter pullbacks only when WMMO > 50 and rising.
Mean Reversion – Weight = Volatility, reduce upper / lower bands to 70 / 30 and fade extremes.
Volume Pulse – Intraday futures: Weight = Volume to catch participation surges before breakout candles.
Divergence Spotting – Compare price highs/lows to WMMO peaks for early reversal clues.
5. Inputs & Styling
Calculation: Source, MA Length, MA Type, Smoothing
Weighting: Volume period & factor, Volatility length, Momentum period
Normalisation: Method, Look‑back, Upper / Lower thresholds
Display: Gradient fills, Threshold lines, Bar‑colouring toggle, Line width & colours
All thresholds, colours and fills are fully customisable inside the settings panel.
6. Built‑In Alerts
WMMO Long – oscillator crosses up through upper threshold.
WMMO Short – oscillator crosses down through lower threshold.
Attach them once and receive push / e‑mail notifications the moment momentum flips.
7. Best Practices
Percentile mode is self‑adaptive and works well across assets; Z‑Score excels in ranges; Min‑Max shines in persistent trends.
Very short MA lengths (< 10) may produce jitter; compensate with higher “Smoothing” or longer look‑backs.
Pair WMMO with structure‑based tools (S/R, trend lines) for higher‑probability trade confluence.
Disclaimer
This script is provided for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always back‑test thoroughly and manage risk before trading live capital.
Custom Portfolio [BackQuant]Custom Portfolio {BackQuant]
Overview
This script turns TradingView into a lightweight portfolio optimizer with institutional-grade analytics and real-time position management capabilities.
Rank up to 15 tickers every bar using a pair-wise relative-strength "league table" that compares each asset against all others through your choice of 12 technical indicators.
Auto-allocate 100% of capital to the single strongest asset and optionally apply dynamic leverage when the aggregate market is trending, with full position tracking and rebalancing logic.
Track performance against a custom buy-and-hold benchmark while watching a fully fledged stats dashboard update in real time, including 15 professional risk metrics.
How it works
Relative-strength engine – Each asset is compared against every other asset with a user-selectable indicator (default: 9/21 EMA cross). The system generates a complete comparison matrix where Asset A vs Asset B, Asset A vs Asset C, and so on, creating strength scores. The summed scores crown a weekly/daily/hourly "winner" that receives the full allocation.
Regime filter – A second indicator applied to TOTAL crypto-market cap (or any symbol you choose) classifies the environment as trending or mean-reverting . Leverage activates only in trending regimes, protecting capital during choppy or declining markets. Choose from indicators like Universal Trend Model, Relative Strength Overlay, Momentum Velocity, or Custom RSI for regime detection.
Capital & position logic – Equity grows linearly when flat and multiplicatively while invested. The system tracks entry prices, calculates returns including leverage adjustments, and handles position transitions seamlessly. Optional intra-trade leverage rebalancing keeps exposure in sync with market conditions, recalculating position sizes as regime conditions change.
Risk & performance analytics – Every confirmed bar records return, drawdown, VaR/CVaR, Sharpe, Sortino, alpha/beta vs your benchmark, gain-to-pain, Calmar, win-rate, Omega ratio, portfolio variance, skewness, and annualized statistics. All metrics render in a professional table for instant inspection with proper annualization based on your selected trading days (252 for traditional markets, 365 for crypto).
Key inputs
Backtest window – Hard-code a start date or let the script run from series' inception with full date range validation.
Asset list (15 slots) – Works with spot, futures, indices, even synthetic spreads (e.g., BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P). The script automatically cleans ticker symbols for display.
Indicator universe – Switch the comparative metric to DEMA, BBPCT, LSMAz adaptive scores, Volatility WMA, DEMA ATR, Median Supertrend, and more proprietary indicators.
With more always being added!
Leverage settings – Max leverage from 1x to any multiple, auto-rebalancing toggle, trend/reversion thresholds with precision controls.
Visual toggles – Show/hide equity curve, rolling drawdown heat-map, daily PnL spikes, position label, advanced metrics table, buy-and-hold comparison equity.
Risk-free rate input – Customize the risk-free rate for accurate Sharpe ratio calculations, supporting both percentage and decimal inputs.
On-chart visuals
Color-coded equity curve with "shadow" offset for depth perception that changes from green (profitable) to red (losing) based on recent performance momentum.
Rolling drawdown strip that fades from light to deep red as losses widen, with customizable maximum drawdown scaling for visual clarity.
Optional daily-return histogram line and zero reference for understanding day-to-day volatility patterns.
Bottom-center table prints the current winning ticker in real time with clean formatting.
Top-right metrics grid updates every bar with 15 key performance indicators formatted to three decimal places for precision.
Benchmark overlay showing buy-and-hold performance of your selected index (default: SPX) for relative performance comparison.
Typical workflow
Add the indicator on a blank chart (overlay off).
Populate ticker slots with the assets you actually trade from your broker's symbol list.
Pick your momentum or mean-reversion metric and a regime filter that matches your market hypothesis.
Set max leverage (1 = spot only) and decide if you want dynamic rebalancing.
Press the little " L " on the price axis to view the equity curve in log scale for better long-term visualization.
Enable the metrics table to monitor Sharpe, Sortino, and drawdown in real time.
Iterate through different asset combinations and indicator settings; compare performance vs buy-and-hold; refine until you find robust parameters.
Who is it for?
Systematic crypto traders looking for a one-click, cross-sectional rotation model with professional risk management.
Portfolio quants who need rapid prototyping without leaving TradingView or exporting to Python/R.
Swing traders wanting an at-a-glance health check of their multi-coin basket with instant position signals.
Fund managers requiring detailed performance attribution and risk metrics for client reporting.
Researchers backtesting momentum and mean-reversion strategies across multiple assets simultaneously.
Important notes & tips
Set Trading Days in a Year to 252 for traditional markets; 365 for 24/7 crypto to ensure accurate annualization.
CAGR and Sharpe assume the backtest start date you choose—short windows can inflate stats, so test across multiple market cycles.
Leverage is theoretical; always confirm your broker's margin rules and account for funding costs not modeled here.
The script is computationally heavy at 15 assets due to the N×N comparison matrix—reduce the list or lengthen the timeframe if you hit execution limits.
Best results often come from mixing assets with different volatility profiles rather than highly correlated instruments.
The regime filter symbol can be changed from CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL to any broad market index that represents your asset universe.
Directional Market Efficiency [QuantAlgo]🟢 Overview
The Directional Market Efficiency indicator is an advanced trend analysis tool that measures how efficiently price moves in a given direction relative to the total price movement over a specified period. Unlike traditional momentum oscillators that only measure price change magnitude, this indicator combines efficiency measurement with directional bias to provide a comprehensive view of market behavior ranging from -1 (perfectly efficient downward movement) to +1 (perfectly efficient upward movement).
The indicator transforms the classic Efficiency Ratio concept by incorporating directional bias, creating a normalized oscillator that simultaneously reveals trend strength, direction, and market regime (trending vs. ranging). This dual-purpose functionality helps traders and investors identify high-probability trend continuation opportunities while filtering out choppy, inefficient price movements that often lead to false signals and whipsaws.
🟢 How It Works
The indicator employs a sophisticated two-step calculation process that first measures pure efficiency, then applies directional weighting to create the final signal. The efficiency calculation compares the absolute net price change over a lookback period to the sum of all individual bar-to-bar price movements during that same period. This ratio reveals how much of the total price movement contributed to actual progress in a specific direction.
The directional component applies the mathematical sign of the net price change (positive for upward movement, negative for downward movement) to the efficiency ratio, creating values between -1 and +1. The resulting Directional Efficiency is then smoothed using an Exponential Moving Average to reduce noise while maintaining responsiveness. Additionally, the system incorporates a configurable threshold level that distinguishes between trending markets (high efficiency) and ranging markets (low efficiency), enabling regime-based analysis and strategy adaptation.
🟢 How to Use
1. Signal Interpretation and Market Regime Analysis
Positive Territory (Above Zero): Indicates efficient upward price movement with bullish directional bias and favorable conditions for long positions
Negative Territory (Below Zero): Signals efficient downward price movement with bearish directional bias and favorable conditions for short positions
High Absolute Values (±0.4 to ±1.0): Represent highly efficient trending conditions with strong directional conviction and reduced noise
Low Absolute Values (±0.1 to ±0.3): Suggest ranging or consolidating markets with inefficient price movement and increased whipsaw risk
Zero Line Crosses: Mark critical directional shifts and provide primary entry/exit signals for trend-following strategies
2. Threshold-Based Market Regime Classification
Above Threshold (Trending Markets): When efficiency exceeds the threshold level, markets are classified as trending, favoring momentum strategies
Below Threshold (Ranging Markets): When efficiency falls below the threshold, markets are classified as ranging, favoring mean reversion approaches
3. Preset Configurations for Different Trading Styles
Default
Universally applicable configuration optimized for medium-term analysis across multiple timeframes and asset classes, providing balanced sensitivity and noise filtering.
Scalping
Highly responsive setup for ultra-short-term trades with increased sensitivity to quick efficiency changes. Best suited for 1-15 minute charts and rapid-fire trading approaches.
Swing Trading
Designed for multi-day position holding with enhanced noise filtering and focus on sustained efficiency trends. Optimal for 1-4 hour and daily timeframe analysis.
🟢 Pro Tips for Trading and Investing
→ Trend Continuation Filter: Enter long positions when Directional Efficiency crosses above zero in trending markets (above threshold) and short positions when crossing below zero, ensuring alignment with efficient price movement.
→ Range Trading Optimization: In ranging markets (below threshold), take profits on extreme readings and enter mean reversion trades when efficiency approaches zero from either direction.
→ Multi-Timeframe Confluence: Combine higher timeframe trend direction with lower timeframe efficiency signals for optimal entry timing.
→ Risk Management Enhancement: Reduce position sizes or avoid new entries when efficiency readings are weak (near zero), as these conditions indicate higher probability of choppy, unpredictable price movement.
→ Signal Strength Assessment: Prioritize trades with high absolute efficiency values (±0.4 or higher) as these represent the most reliable directional moves with reduced likelihood of immediate reversal.
→ Regime Transition Trading: Watch for efficiency threshold breaks combined with directional changes as these often mark significant trend initiation or termination points requiring strategic position adjustments.
→ Alert Integration: Utilize the built-in alert system for real time notifications of zero-line crosses, threshold breaks, and regime changes to maintain constant market awareness without continuous chart monitoring.
Candle close on high time frameOVERVIEW
This indicator plots persistent closing levels of higher time frame candles (H1, H4, and Daily) on the active intraday chart in real time. Unlike similar tools, it offers granular control over line projection length, fully independent toggles per timeframe, and a built-in mechanism that automatically limits the total number of historical levels to avoid chart clutter and performance issues.
CONCEPTS
Key levels from higher time frames often act as areas where price reacts or consolidates. By projecting each candle's exact closing price forward as a horizontal reference, traders can quickly identify dynamic support and resistance zones relevant to the current price action. This indicator enables seamless multi-timeframe analysis without the need to manually switch chart intervals or re-draw lines.
FEATURES
Independent Time Frame Selection: Enable or disable H1, H4, and Daily levels individually to tailor the analysis.
Custom Extension Length: Each timeframe's closing level can be projected forward for a user-defined number of bars.
Performance Optimization: The script maintains an internal limit (default: 100) on the number of active lines. When this threshold is exceeded, the oldest lines are removed automatically.
Visual Differentiation: Colors for each timeframe are fully customizable, enabling immediate recognition of level origin.
Immediate Update: New levels appear as soon as a higher timeframe candle closes, ensuring real-time reference.
USAGE
From the indicator inputs, select which timeframes you want to track.
Adjust the extension lengths to fit your trading style and time horizon.
Customize the line colors for clarity and personal preference.
Use these projected levels as part of your confluence criteria for entries, exits, or stop placement.
Combine with trend indicators or price action tools to enhance your multi-timeframe strategy.
ORIGINALITY AND ADDED VALUE
While similar scripts exist that plot higher timeframe levels, this implementation differs in:
Its efficient automatic cleanup of old lines to preserve chart performance.
The independent extension and color settings per timeframe.
Immediate reaction to new candle closes without repainting.
Simplicity of use combined with precise customization.
This combination makes it a practical and flexible tool for traders who rely on clear HTF level visualization without manual drawing or the limitations of built-in TradingView tools.
LICENSE
This script is published open-source under the Mozilla Public License 2.0.
Round Number Levels ProRound Number Levels Pro is a powerful support and resistance indicator that automatically plots psychological price levels on your chart.
What it does:
- Displays major round number levels (100, 200, 300, etc.) with prominent lines
- Shows mid-level lines (50, 150, 250, etc.) for additional reference points
- All lines extend across the entire chart for maximum visibility
- Automatically adjusts levels based on current price action
Key Features:
- Customizable Font Sizes - Large text for main levels, normal for mid-levels
- Clean Black Styling - Professional appearance that works on any chart background
- Flexible Line Styles - Choose solid, dashed, or dotted lines for main and mid levels
- Adjustable Parameters - Control number of levels, rounding increments, and label positioning
- Full Chart Extension - Lines extend both directions for complete price reference
Perfect for:
- Day traders looking for key psychological support/resistance levels
- Swing traders identifying major price zones
- Any trader who uses round numbers as decision points
How to use:
Simply add to your chart and the indicator will automatically plot relevant round number levels. Customize the settings to match your trading style and timeframe.
These psychological levels are where many traders make decisions, often creating natural support and resistance zones in the market.
Kase Convergence Divergence [BackQuant]Kase Convergence Divergence
The Kase Convergence Divergence is a sophisticated oscillator designed to measure directional market strength through the lens of volatility-adjusted log return structures. Inspired by Cynthia Kase’s work on statistical momentum and price projection ranges, this unique indicator offers a hybrid framework that merges signal processing, multi-length sweep logic, and adaptive smoothing techniques.
Unlike traditional momentum oscillators like MACD or RSI, which rely on static moving average differences, KCD introduces a dual-process system combining:
Kase-style statistical range projection (via log returns and volatility),
A sweeping loop of lookback lengths for robustness,
First and second derivative modes to capture both velocity and acceleration of price movement.
Core Logic & Computation
The KCD calculation is centered on two volatility-normalized transforms:
KSDI Up: Measures how far the current high has moved relative to a past low, normalized by return volatility.
KSDI Down: Measures how far the current low has moved relative to a past high, also normalized.
For every length in a user-defined sweep range (e.g., 25–35), both KSDI_up and KSDI_dn are computed, and their maximum values across the loop are retained. The difference between these two max values produces the raw signal:
KPO (Kase Projection Oscillator): Measures directional skew.
KCD (Kase Convergence Divergence): Defined as KPO – MA(KPO) — similar in spirit to MACD but structurally different.
Users can choose to visualize either the first derivative (KPO) , or the second derivative (KCD) , depending on market conditions or strategy style.
Key Features
✅ Multi-Length Sweep Logic: Improves signal reliability by aggregating statistical range projections across a set of lookbacks.
✅ Advanced Smoothing Modes: Supports DEMA, HMA, TEMA, LINREG, WMA and more for dynamic adaptation.
✅ Dual Derivative Modes: Choose between speed (first derivative) or smoothness (second derivative) to fit your trading regime.
✅ Color-Encoded Signal Bands: Heatmap-style oscillator coloring enhances visual feedback on trend strength.
✅ Candlestick Painting: Optional bar coloring makes it easy to spot trend shifts on the main chart.
✅ Adaptive Fill Zones: Green and red fills between the oscillator and zero line help distinguish bullish and bearish regimes at a glance.
Practical Applications
📈 Trend Confirmation: Use KCD as a secondary confirmation layer after breakout or pullback entries.
📉 Momentum Shifts: Crossover and crossunder of the zero line highlight potential regime changes.
📊 Strategy Filters: Incorporate into algos to avoid trendless or mean-reverting environments.
🧪 Derivative Switching: Flip between KPO and KCD modes depending on whether you want to measure acceleration or deceleration of price flow.
Alerts & Signals
Two built-in alerts help you catch regime shifts in real time:
Long Signal: Triggered when the selected oscillator crosses above zero.
Short Signal: Triggered when it crosses below zero.
These events can be used to generate entries, exits, or trend validation cues in multi-layer systems.
Conclusion
The Kase Convergence Divergence goes beyond traditional oscillators by offering a volatility-normalized, derivative-aware signal engine with enhanced visual dynamics. Its sweeping architecture and dynamic fill logic make it especially powerful for identifying trending environments, filtering chop, and adding statistical rigor to your trading toolkit.
Whether you’re a discretionary trader seeking precision, or a quant looking to model more robust return structures, KCD offers a creative yet analytically grounded solution.
Price Deviation Table by ZonkeyXLProvides a 30 column table showing price deviation per bar close, highlighting larger deviations in red (downside) or green (upside).
Deviations that get highlighted in red/green are calculated to be 2x the amount of price movement in the previous candle, but can be customised to check any deviation size you want in the options panel.
Can be used on any timeframe but you need to specify the number of bars per table column to make it accurate to what you want.
Examples:
If used on the 1 second time frame you could specify bars to 1 and then each column value will check the price as at close on the most recent second for deviations against the close of price on the second prior, showing comparisons up to 30 seconds.
If on the 1 minute time-frame you could specify bars to 2 and then each column value would show deviations from most recent price close to 2 minutes ago, making all 30 columns show deviations for up to an hour.
At the end of the column are 3 orange coloured columns. The first one compares price to 10 bars ago. The second compares current price to 20 bars ago. The 3rd compares current price to 30 bars ago.
In our example on the 1 second above, this would mean deviation is calculated by comparing most recent close to 10 seconds ago, then to 20 seconds ago, and then to 30 seconds ago. The final 3 columns do not highlight red or green, so you can differentiate them properly from the main deviation columns at all times.
Note that the table is rolling - so once it is populated for the first time, only the final column will update while the prior values will shift one column to the left.
Gann Ultimate Time-Price Squares Method V 1.0This Script is an outcome of my Passion towards Gann Theory and his Methodology towards Trading.
The Script is still Evolving.So wait for more updates....
# Complete Trading Guide: Gann Time-Price Squares Indicator
## 🎯 Core Trading Philosophy
**Gann's Key Principle**: "When time and price come together, a change in trend occurs."
Your indicator identifies these critical moments where **Time = Price**, creating high-probability trading opportunities.
---
## 📊 Setup & Configuration
### Recommended Settings by Timeframe
| Timeframe | Pivot Lookback | Min Price Move | Tolerance | Use Case |
|-----------|---------------|----------------|-----------|----------|
| **1-5 min** | 5-8 bars | 0.5-1.0 | 1.0-2.0 | Scalping |
| **15-30 min** | 8-12 bars | 1.0-3.0 | 1.5-2.5 | Day Trading |
| **1-4 hour** | 10-15 bars | 2.0-5.0 | 2.0-3.0 | Swing Trading |
| **Daily** | 15-25 bars | 5.0-20.0 | 3.0-5.0 | Position Trading |
### Initial Setup Steps
1. **Add indicator** to your chart
2. **Set lookback period** based on your timeframe
3. **Adjust tolerance** - start with 2.0 and fine-tune
4. **Enable all visualizations** initially
5. **Position info table** where it doesn't block price action
---
## 🚀 Trading Strategies
### Strategy 1: Square Completion Reversal Trading
#### **Long Entry Setup**
```
CONDITIONS:
✅ Bullish square completes (green box appears)
✅ Info table shows "✅ COMPLETED" status
✅ Price bounces off square's bottom edge
✅ Volume increases on bounce
✅ RSI < 30 (oversold confirmation)
ENTRY: Market buy when price breaks above square's top edge
STOP: Below square's bottom edge (-2 ATR)
TARGET: Next resistance level or 1:2 Risk/Reward
```
#### **Short Entry Setup**
```
CONDITIONS:
✅ Bearish square completes (red box appears)
✅ Info table shows "✅ COMPLETED" status
✅ Price rejects square's top edge
✅ Volume increases on rejection
✅ RSI > 70 (overbought confirmation)
ENTRY: Market sell when price breaks below square's bottom edge
STOP: Above square's top edge (+2 ATR)
TARGET: Next support level or 1:2 Risk/Reward
```
### Strategy 2: Gann Angle Trend Following
#### **1x1 Angle (45°) - The Master Angle**
- **Most Important**: This is Gann's primary trend line
- **Bullish**: Price above 1x1 = uptrend intact
- **Bearish**: Price below 1x1 = downtrend intact
- **Break**: 1x1 angle break = major trend change
#### **Multi-Angle Confluence Trading**
```
STRONG BULLISH SIGNAL:
✅ Price above 1x1 angle (45°)
✅ Bouncing off 2x1 angle (support)
✅ Volume increasing
✅ Multiple angles pointing up
ENTRY: Buy on 2x1 angle bounce
STOP: Below 1x2 angle
TARGET: Next angle resistance
```
### Strategy 3: Projection Trading (Forming Squares)
#### **Anticipation Strategy**
```
SETUP IDENTIFICATION:
👀 Info table shows "⚡ FORMING" status
👀 Progress bar > 70%
👀 P/T Ratio approaching 1.00
👀 Price approaching projected completion zone
ENTRY PREPARATION:
- Set alerts for projected completion levels
- Prepare for reversal at projection zone
- Watch for volume confirmation
- Monitor momentum indicators
```
## 📈 Step-by-Step Trading Process
### Phase 1: Market Analysis (Before Trading)
1. **Check Market Trend**: Look at info table trend indicator
2. **Identify Active Pivots**: Note last significant high/low
3. **Assess Volatility**: High volatility = larger stops needed
4. **Review Completed Squares**: These become support/resistance zones
### Phase 2: Trade Setup Identification
1. **Monitor Forming Squares**: Watch progress bars in info table
2. **Check Gann Angles**: Are they supporting or opposing your bias?
3. **Confirm with Volume**: Look for volume spikes at key levels
4. **Set Alerts**: Use TradingView alerts for completion zones
### Phase 3: Trade Execution
1. **Wait for Confirmation**: Don't trade on projections alone
2. **Enter on Breakout**: Price breaking square boundaries
3. **Set Stops Immediately**: Use square edges as stop levels
4. **Scale Out**: Take partial profits at angle intersections
### Phase 4: Trade Management
1. **Trail Stops**: Use Gann angles as trailing stop levels
2. **Monitor Progress**: Watch for new square formations
3. **Exit Signals**: New squares in opposite direction
4. **Review Performance**: Analyze win/loss against square accuracy
---
## 🎯 High-Probability Setups
### Setup A: Double Confirmation
```
BULLISH EXAMPLE:
1. Bullish square completes at major support
2. Price bounces off 1x1 Gann angle
3. Volume surge confirms reversal
4. RSI divergence present
PROBABILITY: 75-80%
RISK/REWARD: 1:3 typical
```
### Setup B: Angle Breakout
```
BEARISH EXAMPLE:
1. Price breaks below 1x1 angle
2. Bearish square forming below break
3. Multiple angles now resistance
4. Volume confirms breakdown
PROBABILITY: 70-75%
RISK/REWARD: 1:2.5 typical
```
### Setup C: Time Cycle Convergence
```
REVERSAL EXAMPLE:
1. Square completion at time cycle high/low
2. Multiple Gann angles converging
3. Momentum divergence
4. Volume climax
PROBABILITY: 80-85%
RISK/REWARD: 1:4 possible
```
---
## ⚠️ Risk Management Rules
### Position Sizing
- **Conservative**: 1-2% risk per trade
- **Aggressive**: 2-3% risk per trade
- **Never exceed**: 5% total portfolio risk
### Stop Loss Guidelines
- **Completed Squares**: Opposite edge + 1 ATR
- **Gann Angles**: Below/above angle + 0.5 ATR
- **Projections**: 50% of square height
### Take Profit Targets
- **Target 1**: Next Gann angle (1:1 R/R)
- **Target 2**: Next completed square (1:2 R/R)
- **Target 3**: Major S/R level (1:3 R/R)
---
## 📊 Reading the Info Table for Trading
### Market Trend Section
```
📈 BULLISH → Look for long setups
📉 BEARISH → Look for short setups
➡️ NEUTRAL → Wait for direction
```
### Volatility Status
```
🔥 HIGH → Larger stops needed
⚡ ELEVATED → Normal stops
😴 LOW → Tighter stops possible
📊 NORMAL → Standard approach
```
### Square Progress Monitoring
```
✅ COMPLETED → Ready to trade
⚡ FORMING → Prepare for setup
🔥 ACTIVE → Monitor closely
⏳ WAITING → No immediate action
```
### P/T Ratio Interpretation
```
🎯 Perfect (0.8-1.2) → High probability setup
⚡ Good (0.6-1.4) → Moderate probability
⚠️ Watch (outside range) → Lower probability
```
---
## 🔄 Common Trading Scenarios
### Scenario 1: Trend Continuation
**Setup**: Price pulls back to completed square in uptrend
**Action**: Buy at square support with 1x1 angle confirmation
**Management**: Trail stop below each new square formation
### Scenario 2: Reversal Trading
**Setup**: Multiple squares complete at major S/R
**Action**: Fade the move when price rejects square edges
**Management**: Quick profits, tight stops
### Scenario 3: Breakout Trading
**Setup**: Price consolidates in square, then breaks out
**Action**: Trade breakout direction with volume confirmation
**Management**: Use opposite square edge as stop
---
## 📱 Alert Setup Recommendations
### Critical Alerts
1. **Square Completion**: "Gann Square Completed - Check for reversal"
2. **1x1 Angle Break**: "Master angle broken - Trend change possible"
3. **Projection Reached**: "Forming square at 90% - Prepare for reversal"
4. **Multi-Angle Touch**: "Price at angle confluence - High probability setup"
---
Remember: **Gann analysis is both art and science**. The indicator provides the mathematical framework, but successful trading requires patience, discipline, and continuous learning. Start with small positions while you master the methodology!
Enhanced Gann Time-Price SquaresEnhanced Gann Time-Price Squares Indicator
A comprehensive Pine Script indicator that identifies and visualizes W.D. Gann's time-price square formations on your charts. This tool helps traders spot potential market turning points where time and price movements align according to Gann's legendary market theories.
Key Features:
Automatic Square Detection - Identifies completed squares where price movement equals time movement
Future Projections - Shows forming squares with projected completion points
Pivot Integration - Automatically detects pivot highs/lows as square starting points
Visual Clarity - Clean box outlines with customizable colors and styles
Smart Filtering - Prevents overlapping squares and includes minimum move thresholds
Real-time Status - Information table showing current square formations
How to Use:
The indicator draws boxes when price moves from pivot points equal the time elapsed (number of bars). Green squares indicate upward movements, red squares show downward movements. Dashed lines show forming squares, while dotted lines project where they might complete.
Settings:
Adjust pivot sensitivity and minimum price moves
Customize tolerance for time-price matching
Toggle projections, labels, and visual elements
Fine-tune colors and line styles
Perfect for Gann theory practitioners and traders looking for time-based market analysis. The squares often coincide with significant support/resistance levels and potential reversal points.
Compatible with all timeframes and instruments.
More updates to follow
Momentum Regression [BackQuant]Momentum Regression
The Momentum Regression is an advanced statistical indicator built to empower quants, strategists, and technically inclined traders with a robust visual and quantitative framework for analyzing momentum effects in financial markets. Unlike traditional momentum indicators that rely on raw price movements or moving averages, this tool leverages a volatility-adjusted linear regression model (y ~ x) to uncover and validate momentum behavior over a user-defined lookback window.
Purpose & Design Philosophy
Momentum is a core anomaly in quantitative finance — an effect where assets that have performed well (or poorly) continue to do so over short to medium-term horizons. However, this effect can be noisy, regime-dependent, and sometimes spurious.
The Momentum Regression is designed as a pre-strategy analytical tool to help you filter and verify whether statistically meaningful and tradable momentum exists in a given asset. Its architecture includes:
Volatility normalization to account for differences in scale and distribution.
Regression analysis to model the relationship between past and present standardized returns.
Deviation bands to highlight overbought/oversold zones around the predicted trendline.
Statistical summary tables to assess the reliability of the detected momentum.
Core Concepts and Calculations
The model uses the following:
Independent variable (x): The volatility-adjusted return over the chosen momentum period.
Dependent variable (y): The 1-bar lagged log return, also adjusted for volatility.
A simple linear regression is performed over a large lookback window (default: 1000 bars), which reveals the slope and intercept of the momentum line. These values are then used to construct:
A predicted momentum trendline across time.
Upper and lower deviation bands , representing ±n standard deviations of the regression residuals (errors).
These visual elements help traders judge how far current returns deviate from the modeled momentum trend, similar to Bollinger Bands but derived from a regression model rather than a moving average.
Key Metrics Provided
On each update, the indicator dynamically displays:
Momentum Slope (β₁): Indicates trend direction and strength. A higher absolute value implies a stronger effect.
Intercept (β₀): The predicted return when x = 0.
Pearson’s R: Correlation coefficient between x and y.
R² (Coefficient of Determination): Indicates how well the regression line explains the variance in y.
Standard Error of Residuals: Measures dispersion around the trendline.
t-Statistic of β₁: Used to evaluate statistical significance of the momentum slope.
These statistics are presented in a top-right summary table for immediate interpretation. A bottom-right signal table also summarizes key takeaways with visual indicators.
Features and Inputs
✅ Volatility-Adjusted Momentum : Reduces distortions from noisy price spikes.
✅ Custom Lookback Control : Set the number of bars to analyze regression.
✅ Extendable Trendlines : For continuous visualization into the future.
✅ Deviation Bands : Optional ±σ multipliers to detect abnormal price action.
✅ Contextual Tables : Help determine strength, direction, and significance of momentum.
✅ Separate Pane Design : Cleanly isolates statistical momentum from price chart.
How It Helps Traders
📉 Quantitative Strategy Validation:
Use the regression results to confirm whether a momentum-based strategy is worth pursuing on a specific asset or timeframe.
🔍 Regime Detection:
Track when momentum breaks down or reverses. Slope changes, drops in R², or weak t-stats can signal regime shifts.
📊 Trade Filtering:
Avoid false positives by entering trades only when momentum is both statistically significant and directionally favorable.
📈 Backtest Preparation:
Before running costly simulations, use this tool to pre-screen assets for exploitable return structures.
When to Use It
Before building or deploying a momentum strategy : Test if momentum exists and is statistically reliable.
During market transitions : Detect early signs of fading strength or reversal.
As part of an edge-stacking framework : Combine with other filters such as volatility compression, volume surges, or macro filters.
Conclusion
The Momentum Regression indicator offers a powerful fusion of statistical analysis and visual interpretation. By combining volatility-adjusted returns with real-time linear regression modeling, it helps quantify and qualify one of the most studied and traded anomalies in finance: momentum.
Rolling Log Returns [BackQuant]Rolling Log Returns
The Rolling Log Returns indicator is a versatile tool designed to help traders, quants, and data-driven analysts evaluate the dynamics of price changes using logarithmic return analysis. Widely adopted in quantitative finance, log returns offer several mathematical and statistical advantages over simple returns, making them ideal for backtesting, portfolio optimization, volatility modeling, and risk management.
What Are Log Returns?
In quantitative finance, logarithmic returns are defined as:
ln(Pₜ / Pₜ₋₁)
or for rolling periods:
ln(Pₜ / Pₜ₋ₙ)
where P represents price and n is the rolling lookback window.
Log returns are preferred because:
They are time additive : returns over multiple periods can be summed.
They allow for easier statistical modeling , especially when assuming normally distributed returns.
They behave symmetrically for gains and losses, unlike arithmetic returns.
They normalize percentage changes, making cross-asset or cross-timeframe comparisons more consistent.
Indicator Overview
The Rolling Log Returns indicator computes log returns either on a standard (1-period) basis or using a rolling lookback period , allowing users to adapt it to short-term trading or long-term trend analysis.
It also supports a comparison series , enabling traders to compare the return structure of the main charted asset to another instrument (e.g., SPY, BTC, etc.).
Core Features
✅ Return Modes :
Normal Log Returns : Measures ln(price / price ), ideal for day-to-day return analysis.
Rolling Log Returns : Measures ln(price / price ), highlighting price drift over longer horizons.
✅ Comparison Support :
Compare log returns of the primary instrument to another symbol (like an index or ETF).
Useful for relative performance and market regime analysis .
✅ Moving Averages of Returns :
Smooth noisy return series with customizable MA types: SMA, EMA, WMA, RMA, and Linear Regression.
Applicable to both primary and comparison series.
✅ Conditional Coloring :
Returns > 0 are colored green ; returns < 0 are red .
Comparison series gets its own unique color scheme.
✅ Extreme Return Detection :
Highlight unusually large price moves using upper/lower thresholds.
Visually flags abnormal volatility events such as earnings surprises or macroeconomic shocks.
Quantitative Use Cases
🔍 Return Distribution Analysis :
Gain insight into the statistical properties of asset returns (e.g., skewness, kurtosis, tail behavior).
📉 Risk Management :
Use historical return outliers to define drawdown expectations, stress tests, or VaR simulations.
🔁 Strategy Backtesting :
Apply rolling log returns to momentum or mean-reversion models where compounding and consistent scaling matter.
📊 Market Regime Detection :
Identify periods of consistent overperformance/underperformance relative to a benchmark asset.
📈 Signal Engineering :
Incorporate return deltas, moving average crossover of returns, or threshold-based triggers into machine learning pipelines or rule-based systems.
Recommended Settings
Use Normal mode for high-frequency trading signals.
Use Rolling mode for swing or trend-following strategies.
Compare vs. a broad market index (e.g., SPY or QQQ ) to extract relative strength insights.
Set upper and lower thresholds around ±5% for spotting major volatility days.
Conclusion
The Rolling Log Returns indicator transforms raw price action into a statistically sound return series—equipping traders with a professional-grade lens into market behavior. Whether you're conducting exploratory data analysis, building factor models, or visually scanning for outliers, this indicator integrates seamlessly into a modern quant's toolbox.
Live Price Watermark (Flashing Overlay)Displays the current price as a large, centered watermark directly on your chart. The text color updates dynamically:
- Green when price rises
- Red when price falls
- Translucent black when unchanged
